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Week in Review: Treasury Wine Estates writes down A$1.33bn, Diageo faces three regulatory actions in India, and a week of consolidation across craft beer and distribution

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Treasury Wine Estates wrote down A$1.33 billion of US assets this week. DAOU was acquired for A$900 million in 2023. Two years later, it’s impaired. If you’re looking for a single piece of primary data that captures where US premium wine valuations have gone in the past 24 months, that’s it. The story has layers though – the underlying earnings came in above guidance, Penfolds China grew 34.7%, and the company immediately appointed external advisers to review all Americas options including potential asset sales. We published three pieces on it across the week, including a financial analysis piece on the Penfolds China figure that gets into the footnote TWE’s own document contains about how much of that growth was real consumer demand versus channel normalisation. Worth reading before you quote the 34.7% headline.

The other story I kept coming back to was India. Diageo had two separate regulatory actions from two different authorities in eight days. The FSSAI flavouring enforcement from the week before continued through the courts; the bottle marking seizure hit separately. Neither is catastrophic in isolation. Together they’re a useful reminder that the post-FTA India opportunity and the India regulatory risk are arriving at the same time.

Financial Results

M&A & Portfolio

Distribution & Market Access

Regulatory

People & Strategy

Launches Worth Noting

  • Absolut Vodka Sprite RTD Pernod Ricard · RTD Absolut Vodka & Sprite launched as a packaged RTD in Great Britain, ahead of wider European rollout Pernod Ricard and Coca-Cola packaged one of the most recognisable mixer combinations in drinks into a branded RTD – confirming the clearest expression so far of Pernod’s Crystal portfolio strategy. The logic is explicit: occupy a consumption ritual that already exists in the consumer’s memory rather than inventing a new one. Absolut & Ocean Spray followed a similar model in the US. Our market analysis piece on Pernod’s occasion pivot for clear spirits, published this week, maps what the strategy actually means commercially.
  • Amante 1530 aperitif Amante 1530 · Aperitif Amante 1530 launched in the UK positioning itself directly against Aperol in the spritz occasion The Italian bitter aperitif brand launched with a stated ambition to compete for the same 5-7pm occasion Aperol has built in the UK on-trade. The timing is notable given Aperol’s slowdown in some markets while the broader aperitif occasion continues to grow – there is clearly room for a challenger, but the question is always whether a new entrant can own the occasion or simply benefits from a growing occasion that Aperol still controls. Our aperitifs and spritz category insight maps where the occasion data actually sits.
  • Patrón ingredient transparency campaign Bacardi · Tequila Patrón expanded its ingredient transparency campaign as a commercial differentiator in a category facing pricing pressure Bacardi’s Patrón extended its transparency campaign, making the production process and ingredient sourcing explicit marketing content. In a tequila category where super-premium pricing is under pressure – WSWA SipSource showed the super-premium tier contracting even as overall RTD-driven agave consumption grows – Patrón’s bet is that transparency around quality justifies the price premium better than brand heritage alone. Whether that holds as price sensitivity increases is the commercial question the campaign is designed to answer.
  • Malibu Dole RTD Pernod Ricard · RTD Malibu & Dole RTDs moved into US national rollout – rum and pineapple as a packaged occasion Alongside the Absolut & Sprite launch, Malibu’s partnership with Dole for packaged rum and pineapple RTDs progressed to national US rollout. The same strategic logic applies – rum and pineapple is a pre-existing consumption ritual rather than a manufactured new flavour. Malibu has brand recognition across the consumer base that would reach for this drink. The question for both Absolut and Malibu is whether packaged co-branded RTDs convert at the rate their distribution suggests they should.

On the Radar

  • IWSR: hard tea could scale better than hard seltzer globally IWSR released analysis suggesting hard tea has stronger structural scale potential globally than hard seltzer, citing cultural familiarity with tea across Asian and European markets that seltzer lacks. Monster’s Nasty Beast hard tea is the most visible current bet on this thesis – though Monster’s Q2 alcohol results (alcohol segment down 15.2%) complicate the optimism somewhat. The format may have potential. Execution at the brand level is a different question.
  • Margaritas drove a 200% surge in tequila cocktail off-trade sales in the UK UK off-trade data showed tequila cocktail sales surging 200% driven by the margarita occasion – consistent with what the aperitif occasion did for Aperol and what RTDs have done for spirits more broadly. The margarita in the UK is still early stage relative to the US, which makes it either a growth opportunity or a timing risk depending on how durable the consumer interest proves beyond a trend peak.
  • Monster Beverage’s alcohol segment fell 15.2% in Q2 2026 while energy drinks hit a record $2.54 billion The divergence between Monster’s energy drink growth and its alcohol decline is the most specific available data point on the substitution dynamic between functional beverages and alcohol. We covered the commercial implications in full in our market analysis piece, published this week – the short version is that brand equity built in energy drinks doesn’t automatically transfer to alcohol at the point of purchase.
  • Burgundy overtook Bordeaux as the most traded wine region on the secondary market Liv-ex data confirmed Burgundy now accounts for more secondary market trading volume than Bordeaux – a shift that would have seemed improbable a decade ago when Bordeaux dominated the fine wine trade. The flip reflects both the sustained strength of blue-chip Burgundy (DRC, Rousseau, Leroy) and Bordeaux’s en primeur pricing challenges. For the fine wine market, it signals a maturation of the buyer base toward quality over familiarity.